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Ecuador - Liga Pro Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:00 
Leones Norte PPG 1.67 
Mushuc Runa PPG 0.33
Ecuador - Liga Pro Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:00 Leones Norte PPG 1.673-1 MISS
Mushuc Runa PPG 0.33Home· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 35.8% Odds: 2.35 -15.9%
Over 3.5 13.7% Odds: 4.50 -23.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones Norte 1.09
Mushuc Runa 0.88
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 44 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=40.1%