Arsenal D. vs ML Vitebsk Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Belarus - Premier League Regular Season - 8 Haradski Stadium· Barysaw Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:00

Arsenal D. PPG 2.33

0-3 MISS

ML Vitebsk PPG 3.00

Home· +101.3% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.3%

Odds: 9.50 EV: +101.3%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +6.8%

Away 45.2%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -41.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.78 -6.4%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.64 -15.0%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 2.15 +13.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal D.

1.10

ML Vitebsk

1.59

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+101.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.33)