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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 
Zamora PPG 1.94 
Cacereno PPG 1.11
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 Zamora PPG 1.941-2 MISS
Cacereno PPG 1.11Home· +30.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 2.75 +28.1%
Over 3.5 20.2% Odds: 4.50 -5.5%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 2.20 +8.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zamora 1.46
Cacereno 0.85
Model Suggestion
Home +30.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=50.2%