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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Group 1 - 37
Estadio El Prado· Talavera de la Reina
Sunday, May 17, 2026
15:00
Talavera CF
PPG 1.44
0-0
HIT CS2
Ourense CF
PPG 0.61
Draw· +5.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.6%
Odds: 2.10
EV: -18.9%
Draw
33.9%
Odds: 3.10
EV: +5.1%
Away
27.6%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -6.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
42.8%
Odds: 2.10
-10.1%
Over 3.5
14.5%
Odds: 3.85
-26.5%
BTTS
48.6%
Odds: 1.83
-11.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✔
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Talavera CF
1.09
Ourense CF
0.93
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=38.6%