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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 37 Estadio El Prado· Talavera de la Reina Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00
Talavera CF logo Talavera CF PPG 1.44
0-0 HIT CS2
Ourense CF logo Ourense CF PPG 0.61
Draw· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -18.9%
Draw 33.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +5.1%
Away 27.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -6.2%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.8% Odds: 2.10 -10.1%
Over 3.5 14.5% Odds: 3.85 -26.5%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.83 -11.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Talavera CF
1.09
Ourense CF
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=38.6%

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