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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 
Real Madrid B PPG 2.06 
Arenas Club PPG 0.67
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 Real Madrid B PPG 2.063-3 MISS
Arenas Club PPG 0.67Away· +110.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 2.70 -16.4%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.30 +18.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid B 1.72
Arenas Club 0.90
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+110.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+110.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=52.4%