Celta Vigo B vs Lugo Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 37 Municipal de Barreiro· Vigo Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00

Celta Vigo B PPG 1.89

0-1 MISS

Lugo PPG 1.11

Away· -1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 49.9%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -10.2%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -7.7%

Away 23.8%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -1.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 2.10 -1.5%

Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 3.80 -13.3%

BTTS 50.5% Odds: 1.90 -4.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Celta Vigo B

1.44

Lugo

0.88

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -35.1%

Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.89) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)