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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 37 Estadio de Espiñedo· Ourense Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00
Arenteiro logo Arenteiro PPG 1.06
0-1 HIT CS2
Ponferradina logo Ponferradina PPG 1.33
Home· +113.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.2%
Odds: 10.60 EV: +113.0%
Draw 33.2%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +36.1%
Away 39.5%
Odds: 1.30 EV: -48.6%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.00 -30.0%
Over 3.5 10.5% Odds: 3.50 -38.0%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.40 +10.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Arenteiro
0.73
Ponferradina
1.05

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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