Today / Trajal Krusevac vs FAP Priboj

Trajal Krusevac vs FAP Priboj Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Trajal Krusevac

PPG 1.59 · HOME

UPCOMING

FAP Priboj

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-17.6%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.0%1-111.9%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.3%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.7%3-14.8%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 22.3% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 14.0%

#3 2–0 10.9%

#4 0–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trajal Krusevac1.6

FAP Priboj0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 1.59

FAP PRIBOJ · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Win probability 1X2

Trajal Krusevac (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FAP Priboj (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trajal Krusevac face FAP Priboj on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trajal Krusevac a 51% chance, the draw 25% and FAP Priboj 23%, so Trajal Krusevac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Trajal Krusevac and 0.8 for FAP Priboj (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trajal Krusevac are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.67 for FAP Priboj.

Trajal Krusevac vs FAP Priboj Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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