Today / T. Odzaci vs Usce Novi B.

T. Odzaci vs Usce Novi B. Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

T. Odzaci

PPG 1.12 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Usce Novi B.

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.12) > Away POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-18.0%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.9%1-112.0%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.0%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.6%3-14.5%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.7% — — —

Over 3.5 20.3% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Odzaci1.5

Usce Novi B.0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.3%

Form & verdict PPG

T. ODZACI · PPG 1.12

USCE NOVI B. · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.12) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

T. Odzaci (H) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Usce Novi B. (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Odzaci face Usce Novi B. on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Odzaci a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Usce Novi B. 22%, so T. Odzaci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for T. Odzaci and 0.8 for Usce Novi B. (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Odzaci are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.33 for Usce Novi B.. This match finished 4-1.

T. Odzaci vs Usce Novi B. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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