Today / Rangers W vs Celtic W
Rangers W vs Celtic W Prediction
Sunday, May 17, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.4%
Form & verdict
RANGERS W · PPG 2.38
CELTIC W · PPG 2.00
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.38) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Rangers W face Celtic W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers W a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Celtic W 25%, so Rangers W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Rangers W and 1.4 for Celtic W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers W are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 2.00 for Celtic W. This match finished 0-3.