Today / Grodzisk M. vs Tychy
Grodzisk M. vs Tychy Prediction
Sunday, May 17, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 55% / xG 2.5-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.9%
Form & verdict
GRODZISK M. · PPG 1.69
TYCHY · PPG 0.69
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=55.2%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Grodzisk M. face Tychy on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grodzisk M. a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Tychy 22%, so Grodzisk M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Grodzisk M. and 1.2 for Tychy (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grodzisk M. are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.69 for Tychy. This match finished 0-0.