Today / Videoton FC vs Budafoki

Videoton FC vs Budafoki Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Videoton FC

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Budafoki

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-17.1%0-22.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.9%1-111.5%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.2%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.5%3-15.0%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.2% — — —

Over 3.5 21.6% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 11.5%

#3 2–0 12.0%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Videoton FC1.6

Budafoki0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDEOTON FC · PPG 1.64

BUDAFOKI · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Videoton FC (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Budafoki (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Videoton FC face Budafoki on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Videoton FC a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Budafoki 22%, so Videoton FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Videoton FC and 0.8 for Budafoki (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Videoton FC are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.64 for Budafoki. This match finished 1-3.

Videoton FC vs Budafoki Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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