Today / Vitebsk vs T. Zhodino

Vitebsk vs T. Zhodino Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Vitebsk

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

T. Zhodino

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-116.5%0-26.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.3%1-112.8%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.3%2-15.0%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.6%3-11.3%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 38.8% — — —

Away win 26.4% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 7.3% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 39% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%

#2 1–1✓ 12.8%

#3 0–1 16.5%

#4 1–0 16.3%

#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitebsk0.8

T. Zhodino0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VITEBSK · PPG 2.00

T. ZHODINO · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Vitebsk (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Zhodino (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitebsk face T. Zhodino on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitebsk a 35% chance, the draw 39% and T. Zhodino 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vitebsk and 0.8 for T. Zhodino (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitebsk are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.67 for T. Zhodino. This match finished 1-1.

Vitebsk vs T. Zhodino Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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