Today / BVSC vs Honved

BVSC vs Honved Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

BVSC

PPG 1.36 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Honved

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-117.1%0-29.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.6%2-15.0%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.9% — — —

Draw 32.9% — — —

Away win 40.2% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.6% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.6%

A 40% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BVSC0.8

Honved1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BVSC · PPG 1.36

HONVED · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.36) vs Away GOOD (1.86)

Win probability 1X2

BVSC (H) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honved (A) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BVSC face Honved on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BVSC a 27% chance, the draw 33% and Honved 40%, so Honved are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for BVSC and 1.1 for Honved (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BVSC are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.86 for Honved. This match finished 4-1.

BVSC vs Honved Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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