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Siauliai B vs Ekranas Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 14:00

Siauliai B

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ekranas

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.4%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.9%1-111.7%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.9%2-19.3%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.2%3-15.0%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% 39.2% 2.55 +23.9%

Draw 25.8% 27.8% 3.60 -4.3%

Away win 25.6% 44.4% 2.25 -25.4%

Over 2.5 52.6% 61.7% 1.62 -14.8%

Over 3.5 30.4% 40.3% 2.48 -24.6%

BTTS 54.6% 65.4% 1.53 -16.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 0–0 6.2%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siauliai B1.6

Ekranas1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SIAULIAI B · PPG 1.25

EKRANAS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Siauliai B (H) 48.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +23.9%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -4.3%

Ekranas (A) 25.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -25.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Siauliai B face Ekranas in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siauliai B a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Ekranas 26%, so Siauliai B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Siauliai B and 1.2 for Ekranas (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siauliai B are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Ekranas. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Siauliai B vs Ekranas Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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