Today / Vikingur B vs TB Tvoroyri

Vikingur B vs TB Tvoroyri Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Vikingur B

PPG 2.60 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

TB Tvoroyri

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.7%0-21.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.9%1-15.2%1-23.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.9%2-17.8%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.9%3-17.9%3-25.2%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-112.6%4+-28.4%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.2% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 59% / xG 3.0-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 4–1 6.0%

#4 1–1 5.2%

#5 3–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur B3.0

TB Tvoroyri1.3

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR B · PPG 2.60

TB TVOROYRI · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=59.3%

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur B (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TB Tvoroyri (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur B face TB Tvoroyri on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur B a 59% chance, the draw 20% and TB Tvoroyri 20%, so Vikingur B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Vikingur B and 1.3 for TB Tvoroyri (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur B are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.40 for TB Tvoroyri. This match finished 2-2.

Vikingur B vs TB Tvoroyri Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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