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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 12 Kuressaare Linnastaadion· Kuressaare Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Kuressaare logo Kuressaare PPG 1.20
0-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Nomme Kalju logo Nomme Kalju PPG 2.40
Home· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.6%
Odds: 8.40 EV: +8.5%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -0.9%
Away 64.0%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -14.9%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 2.45 -20.6%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.83 -11.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 0-3
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Kuressaare
0.63
Nomme Kalju
1.99

Model Suggestion

Away -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+8.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

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