Today / Egypt - Premier League / National Bank vs El Gouna
National Bank vs El Gouna Prediction— Egypt - Premier League
Relegation Group - 11 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 14:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 35% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.1%
Form & verdict
NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.38
EL GOUNA · PPG 1.50
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away GOOD (1.50)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
National Bank face El Gouna in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives National Bank a 35% chance, the draw 41% and El Gouna 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for National Bank and 0.6 for El Gouna (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, National Bank are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.50 for El Gouna. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +29.1%. This match finished 1-1.