Today / Wolverhampton vs Fulham

Wolverhampton vs Fulham Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Wolverhampton

PPG 0.72 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Fulham

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.72), Away POOR (0.89)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-112.8%0-28.9%0-34.1%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.2%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.6%2-16.3%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.5%3-12.1%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 43.4% — — —

Over 2.5 47.2% — — —

Over 3.5 21.7% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob51.6%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 0–1 12.8%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolverhampton1.0

Fulham1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLVERHAMPTON · PPG 0.72

FULHAM · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.72), Away POOR (0.89)

Win probability 1X2

Wolverhampton (H) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fulham (A) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolverhampton face Fulham on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolverhampton a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Fulham 43%, so Fulham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wolverhampton and 1.4 for Fulham (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolverhampton are averaging 0.72 points per game versus 0.89 for Fulham. This match finished 1-1.

Wolverhampton vs Fulham Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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