Today / Teutonia Weiden vs VfL Vichttal

Teutonia Weiden vs VfL Vichttal Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Teutonia Weiden

PPG 0.62 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfL Vichttal

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-13.1%0-25.8%0-37.2%0-4+17.8%1 1-00.9%1-13.3%1-26.1%1-37.6%1-4+18.8%2 2-00.5%2-11.7%2-23.2%2-34.0%2-4+9.9%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-21.1%3-31.4%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.5% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 67.5% — — —

Over 2.5 76.5% — — —

Over 3.5 70.3% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)3.7 BTTS prob59.7%

A 68% / xG 1.1-3.7 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.6%

#2 0–3 7.2%

#3 1–4 7.1%

#4 0–4 6.7%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia Weiden1.1

VfL Vichttal3.7

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.5% · O3.5 PROB 70.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.62

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs Home POOR (0.62)

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia Weiden (H) 11.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfL Vichttal (A) 67.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia Weiden face VfL Vichttal on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia Weiden a 12% chance, the draw 21% and VfL Vichttal 68%, so VfL Vichttal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Teutonia Weiden and 3.7 for VfL Vichttal (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia Weiden are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 1.46 for VfL Vichttal. This match finished 2-2.

Teutonia Weiden vs VfL Vichttal Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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