Today / Biemenhorst vs Juchen-G.

Biemenhorst vs Juchen-G. Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Biemenhorst

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Juchen-G.

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.5%0-26.1%0-34.4%0-4+4.1%1 1-03.7%1-18.2%1-29.0%1-36.6%1-4+6.1%2 2-02.8%2-16.1%2-26.7%2-34.9%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.4%3-13.0%3-23.3%3-32.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.6%4+-21.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.6% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 46.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.3% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob62.5%

A 46% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Biemenhorst1.5

Juchen-G.2.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BIEMENHORST · PPG 0.67

JUCHEN-G. · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Biemenhorst (H) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juchen-G. (A) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Biemenhorst face Juchen-G. on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Biemenhorst a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Juchen-G. 46%, so Juchen-G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Biemenhorst and 2.2 for Juchen-G. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Biemenhorst are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.73 for Juchen-G.. This match finished 0-3.

Biemenhorst vs Juchen-G. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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