Today / Pretoria U. vs Midlands Wand.

Pretoria U. vs Midlands Wand. Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Pretoria U.

PPG 1.43 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

Midlands Wand.

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-19.8%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.6%1-112.8%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-18.3%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 16.6% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 1–0 15.6%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pretoria U.1.3

Midlands Wand.0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PRETORIA U. · PPG 1.43

MIDLANDS WAND. · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=47.9%

Win probability 1X2

Pretoria U. (H) 47.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Midlands Wand. (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pretoria U. face Midlands Wand. on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pretoria U. a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Midlands Wand. 24%, so Pretoria U. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pretoria U. and 0.8 for Midlands Wand. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pretoria U. are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.62 for Midlands Wand.. This match finished 6-2.

Pretoria U. vs Midlands Wand. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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