Today / Schaffhausen vs Paradiso

Schaffhausen vs Paradiso Prediction

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:30

Schaffhausen logo
Schaffhausen
PPG 1.54 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Paradiso logo
Paradiso
PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.85)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.0%0-24.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.6%1-110.5%1-27.3%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.9%3-15.4%3-23.7%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.5%4+-22.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.1%
Draw 23.3%
Away win 30.6%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Over 3.5 38.3%
BTTS 62.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.0%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–0 7.6%
#4 1–2 7.3%
#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schaffhausen1.7
Paradiso1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 38.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.54

PARADISO · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Schaffhausen (H) 46.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Paradiso (A) 30.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schaffhausen face Paradiso on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schaffhausen a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Paradiso 31%, so Schaffhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Schaffhausen and 1.4 for Paradiso (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schaffhausen are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.85 for Paradiso. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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