Today / Verona W vs Lumezzane W

Verona W vs Lumezzane W Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Verona W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Lumezzane W

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-111.0%0-211.4%0-37.9%0-4+6.7%1 1-04.5%1-19.5%1-29.8%1-36.8%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.0%2-14.1%2-24.2%2-32.9%2-4+2.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 61.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.9% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob51.6%

A 62% / xG 0.9-2.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.4%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 0–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Verona W0.9

Lumezzane W2.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VERONA W · PPG 1.00

LUMEZZANE W · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Verona W (H) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lumezzane W (A) 61.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Verona W face Lumezzane W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Verona W a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Lumezzane W 62%, so Lumezzane W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Verona W and 2.1 for Lumezzane W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Verona W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.17 for Lumezzane W. This match finished 1-0.

Verona W vs Lumezzane W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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