Today / Venezia W vs San Marino A. W
Venezia W vs San Marino A. W Prediction
Sunday, May 17, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.3-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%
Form & verdict
VENEZIA W · PPG 0.42
SAN MARINO A. W · PPG 1.33
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.42)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Venezia W face San Marino A. W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venezia W a 29% chance, the draw 25% and San Marino A. W 46%, so San Marino A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Venezia W and 2.1 for San Marino A. W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venezia W are averaging 0.42 points per game versus 1.33 for San Marino A. W. This match finished 2-1.