Today / RES Roma W vs Arezzo W
RES Roma W vs Arezzo W Prediction
Sunday, May 17, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 54% / xG 2.3-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.2%
Form & verdict
RES ROMA W · PPG 1.75
AREZZO W · PPG 1.00
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
RES Roma W face Arezzo W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RES Roma W a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Arezzo W 22%, so RES Roma W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for RES Roma W and 1.1 for Arezzo W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RES Roma W are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Arezzo W. This match finished 2-1.