Today / Hildesheim vs LSK Hansa

Hildesheim vs LSK Hansa Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Hildesheim

PPG 2.15 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

LSK Hansa

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.4%0-23.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.9%1-18.9%1-26.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.0%3-16.0%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.8%4+-23.7%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 25.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.1% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hildesheim2.0

LSK Hansa1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HILDESHEIM · PPG 2.15

LSK HANSA · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=50.2%

Win probability 1X2

Hildesheim (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

LSK Hansa (A) 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hildesheim face LSK Hansa on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hildesheim a 50% chance, the draw 24% and LSK Hansa 26%, so Hildesheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hildesheim and 1.5 for LSK Hansa (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hildesheim are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.31 for LSK Hansa. This match finished 1-3.

Hildesheim vs LSK Hansa Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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