Today / BSV Rehden vs Wolfenbuttel

BSV Rehden vs Wolfenbuttel Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

BSV Rehden

PPG 0.92 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wolfenbuttel

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.6%0-22.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-02.9%1-16.0%1-26.3%1-34.4%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.3%2-16.8%2-27.2%2-35.0%2-4+4.3%3 3-02.5%3-15.2%3-25.5%3-33.8%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-15.1%4+-25.3%4+-33.7%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.7% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.7%

H 43% / xG 2.3-2.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 1–1 6.0%

#3 2–1 6.8%

#4 1–2✓ 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSV Rehden2.3

Wolfenbuttel2.1

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BSV REHDEN · PPG 0.92

WOLFENBUTTEL · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.92) vs Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

BSV Rehden (H) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wolfenbuttel (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BSV Rehden face Wolfenbuttel on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSV Rehden a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Wolfenbuttel 35%, so BSV Rehden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for BSV Rehden and 2.1 for Wolfenbuttel (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSV Rehden are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.29 for Wolfenbuttel. This match finished 1-2.

BSV Rehden vs Wolfenbuttel Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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