Today / Braunschweig B vs Lupo-Martini

Braunschweig B vs Lupo-Martini Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Braunschweig B
PPG 1.57 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Lupo-Martini
PPG 0.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.7%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.4%1-15.3%1-23.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.0%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.8%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-011.0%4+-113.1%4+-27.8%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 61.4%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 17.8%
Over 2.5 66.5%
Over 3.5 61.1%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 61% / xG 3.0-1.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%
#2 2–1 8.0%
#3 3–0 6.8%
#4 2–0 6.7%
#5 4–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Braunschweig B3.0
Lupo-Martini1.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.5% · O3.5 PROB 61.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAUNSCHWEIG B · PPG 1.57

LUPO-MARTINI · PPG 0.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=61.4%

Win probability 1X2

Braunschweig B (H) 61.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lupo-Martini (A) 17.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Braunschweig B face Lupo-Martini on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Braunschweig B a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Lupo-Martini 18%, so Braunschweig B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Braunschweig B and 1.2 for Lupo-Martini (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Braunschweig B are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.36 for Lupo-Martini. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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