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USV Hercules vs Excelsior 31 Prediction

League logo Netherlands flag Unknown League Group A - 30 Sportpark Voordorp· Utrecht Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:30
USV Hercules logo USV Hercules PPG 1.80
3-2 MISS
Excelsior 31 logo Excelsior 31 PPG 1.14
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

USV Hercules face Excelsior 31 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives USV Hercules a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Excelsior 31 35%, so USV Hercules are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for USV Hercules and 1.7 for Excelsior 31 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, USV Hercules are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.14 for Excelsior 31. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 22.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 34.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: —
BTTS 68.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

USV Hercules
1.86
Excelsior 31
1.66

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

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