Today / Como W vs Vicenza W

Como W vs Vicenza W Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Como W
PPG 3.00 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Vicenza W
PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=63.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-13.3%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.3%1-17.9%1-23.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.3%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.7%3-17.4%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-17.7%4+-22.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.1%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 14.7%
Over 2.5 61.4%
Over 3.5 38.3%
BTTS 51.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 63% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%
#2 3–0 9.7%
#3 2–1 9.3%
#4 1–0 10.3%
#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Como W2.4
Vicenza W0.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.3%

Form & verdict PPG

COMO W · PPG 3.00

VICENZA W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=63.1%

Win probability 1X2

Como W (H) 63.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vicenza W (A) 14.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Como W face Vicenza W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Como W a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Vicenza W 15%, so Como W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Como W and 0.8 for Vicenza W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Como W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Vicenza W. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org