Today / Hearts W vs Glasgow City W

Hearts W vs Glasgow City W Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Hearts W
PPG 2.31 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Glasgow City W
PPG 2.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.6%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.1%1-110.7%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.7%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.4%
Draw 24.4%
Away win 35.2%
Over 2.5 61.4%
Over 3.5 38.3%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 1–2 8.0%
#4 2–2 6.5%
#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hearts W1.6
Glasgow City W1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HEARTS W · PPG 2.31

GLASGOW CITY W · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.31), Away EXCELLENT (2.23)

Win probability 1X2

Hearts W (H) 40.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Glasgow City W (A) 35.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hearts W face Glasgow City W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hearts W a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Glasgow City W 35%, so Hearts W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hearts W and 1.5 for Glasgow City W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hearts W are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 2.23 for Glasgow City W. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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