Today / Nordlingen vs S. Hauzenberg

Nordlingen vs S. Hauzenberg Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:30

Nordlingen logo
Nordlingen
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
S. Hauzenberg logo
S. Hauzenberg
PPG 0.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.08) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.1%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.9%1-13.7%1-21.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.7%2-16.6%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-17.7%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-021.8%4+-116.5%4+-26.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 87.1%
Draw 8.5%
Away win 4.4%
Over 2.5 79.8%
Over 3.5 61.6%
BTTS 51.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.5%

H 87% / xG 3.5-0.8 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.1%
#2 4–0 8.9%
#3 2–0 8.7%
#4 3–1 7.7%
#5 4–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nordlingen3.5
S. Hauzenberg0.8

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.8% · O3.5 PROB 61.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NORDLINGEN · PPG 2.00

S. HAUZENBERG · PPG 0.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.08) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Nordlingen (H) 87.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 8.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Hauzenberg (A) 4.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nordlingen face S. Hauzenberg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nordlingen a 87% chance, the draw 9% and S. Hauzenberg 4%, so Nordlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Nordlingen and 0.8 for S. Hauzenberg (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nordlingen are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.08 for S. Hauzenberg. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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