Today / Partick T. W vs Hibernian W

Partick T. W vs Hibernian W Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Partick T. W
PPG 0.69 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Hibernian W
PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.69) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-17.2%0-211.6%0-312.5%0-4+22.5%1 1-01.3%1-14.2%1-26.7%1-37.2%1-4+13.0%2 2-00.4%2-11.2%2-21.9%2-32.1%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.2%
Draw 21.5%
Away win 69.3%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 52.5%
BTTS 48.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 64%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob48.6%

A 69% / xG 0.6-3.2 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 12.5%
#2 0–2 11.6%
#3 0–4 10.0%
#4 1–3 7.2%
#5 1–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partick T. W0.6
Hibernian W3.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTICK T. W · PPG 0.69

HIBERNIAN W · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.69) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Partick T. W (H) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hibernian W (A) 69.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Partick T. W face Hibernian W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partick T. W a 9% chance, the draw 22% and Hibernian W 69%, so Hibernian W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Partick T. W and 3.2 for Hibernian W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partick T. W are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.69 for Hibernian W. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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