Today / Persijap vs Borneo

Persijap vs Borneo Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Persijap

PPG 1.31 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Borneo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-112.5%0-210.8%0-36.2%0-4+4.0%1 1-06.5%1-111.2%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.6%2 2-02.9%2-15.1%2-24.4%2-32.5%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.5%3-21.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 52.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 27.1% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob51.6%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 0–1 12.5%

#3 0–2 10.8%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0✓ 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Persijap0.9

Borneo1.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PERSIJAP · PPG 1.31

BORNEO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Persijap (H) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Borneo (A) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Persijap face Borneo on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Persijap a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Borneo 52%, so Borneo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Persijap and 1.7 for Borneo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Persijap are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 2.00 for Borneo. This match finished 0-0.

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Match Preview & Prediction

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