Today / VfR Mannheim vs Karlsruher B

VfR Mannheim vs Karlsruher B Prediction

Baden-Württemberg - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:30

VfR Mannheim

PPG 1.85 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.7%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.8%1-18.5%1-24.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.8%3-17.5%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-17.4%4+-23.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.5% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 14.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 41.1% — — —

BTTS 55.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.5%

H 68% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 8.8%

#4 1–1 8.5%

#5 3–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfR Mannheim2.3

Karlsruher B1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 41.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 1.85

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

VfR Mannheim (H) 67.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karlsruher B (A) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfR Mannheim face Karlsruher B on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfR Mannheim a 68% chance, the draw 18% and Karlsruher B 14%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for VfR Mannheim and 1.0 for Karlsruher B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfR Mannheim are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.43 for Karlsruher B. This match finished 2-0.

VfR Mannheim vs Karlsruher B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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