Today / Tampines Rovers vs Lion City

Tampines Rovers vs Lion City Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Tampines Rovers

PPG 2.25 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lion City

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-17.4%0-27.2%0-34.6%0-4+3.5%1 1-05.1%1-19.8%1-29.5%1-36.1%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.4%2-16.5%2-26.3%2-34.1%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.9%3-22.8%3-31.8%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 46.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampines Rovers1.3

Lion City1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPINES ROVERS · PPG 2.25

LION CITY · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.25) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.60)

Win probability 1X2

Tampines Rovers (H) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lion City (A) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampines Rovers face Lion City on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampines Rovers a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Lion City 46%, so Lion City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Tampines Rovers and 1.9 for Lion City (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampines Rovers are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.60 for Lion City. This match finished 3-2.

Tampines Rovers vs Lion City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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