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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Arena Lviv· Lviv Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00
Rukh Lviv logo Rukh Lviv PPG 0.79
1-3 MISS
Oleksandria logo Oleksandria PPG 0.43
Over2.5· +13.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.6%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -4.1%
Draw 29.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -7.6%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -7.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.45 +13.2%
Over 3.5 18.5% Odds: 4.75 -7.3%
BTTS 50.4% Odds: 2.00 +0.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Rukh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
0.99

Model Suggestion

BTTS +0.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+13.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.79) > Away POOR (0.43)

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