Today / Lee Man vs Tai Po
Lee Man vs Tai Po Prediction
Sunday, May 17, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 2.5-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.4%
Form & verdict
LEE MAN · PPG 1.80
TAI PO · PPG 1.50
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away GOOD (1.50)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Lee Man face Tai Po on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lee Man a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Tai Po 25%, so Lee Man are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Lee Man and 1.5 for Tai Po (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lee Man are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.50 for Tai Po.