Today / NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka SSU Bo

NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka SSU Bo Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

NGU Nagoya W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shizuoka SSU Bo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-17.6%0-29.5%0-37.9%0-4+9.0%1 1-03.0%1-17.5%1-29.4%1-37.9%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.5%2-13.7%2-24.7%2-33.9%2-4+4.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.5%3-31.3%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 64.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 46.3% — — —

BTTS 59.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob59.3%

A 65% / xG 1.0-2.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.5%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 1–1 7.5%

#4 0–3 7.9%

#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NGU Nagoya W1.0

Shizuoka SSU Bo2.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NGU NAGOYA W · PPG 1.20

SHIZUOKA SSU BO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

NGU Nagoya W (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shizuoka SSU Bo (A) 64.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NGU Nagoya W face Shizuoka SSU Bo on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NGU Nagoya W a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Shizuoka SSU Bo 65%, so Shizuoka SSU Bo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for NGU Nagoya W and 2.5 for Shizuoka SSU Bo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NGU Nagoya W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.00 for Shizuoka SSU Bo.

NGU Nagoya W vs Shizuoka SSU Bo Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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