Today / Canberra White vs Gungahlin Juven

Canberra White vs Gungahlin Juven Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Canberra White

PPG 0.20 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Gungahlin Juven

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.8%0-24.1%0-36.3%0-4+25.8%1 1-00.4%1-11.7%1-24.0%1-36.0%1-4+24.7%2 2-00.2%2-10.8%2-21.9%2-32.9%2-4+11.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.6%3-30.9%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.5% — — —

Draw 18.8% — — —

Away win 71.7% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 80.2% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 71%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)4.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 72% / xG 1.0-4.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 7.2%

#2 1–4✓ 6.9%

#3 0–5 6.6%

#4 1–5 6.3%

#5 0–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra White1.0

Gungahlin Juven4.6

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 80.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA WHITE · PPG 0.20

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

Canberra White (H) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gungahlin Juven (A) 71.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra White face Gungahlin Juven on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra White a 10% chance, the draw 19% and Gungahlin Juven 72%, so Gungahlin Juven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Canberra White and 4.6 for Gungahlin Juven (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra White are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 2.25 for Gungahlin Juven. This match finished 1-4.

Canberra White vs Gungahlin Juven Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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