Today / Yunogo Belle W vs Nittaidai W

Yunogo Belle W vs Nittaidai W Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Yunogo Belle W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Nittaidai W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.9%0-20.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.5%1-13.3%1-22.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.4%2 2-04.6%2-16.1%2-24.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.7%3-17.4%3-24.9%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-013.4%4+-117.6%4+-211.5%4+-35.0%4+-4+2.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.6%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 14.7%
Over 2.5 79.0%
Over 3.5 73.1%
BTTS 62.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)3.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.8%

H 65% / xG 3.7-1.3 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%
#2 4–1 6.8%
#3 2–1 6.1%
#4 3–0 5.7%
#5 4–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yunogo Belle W3.7
Nittaidai W1.3

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 73.1%

Form & verdict PPG

YUNOGO BELLE W · PPG 1.33

NITTAIDAI W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Yunogo Belle W (H) 64.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Nittaidai W (A) 14.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yunogo Belle W face Nittaidai W on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yunogo Belle W a 65% chance, the draw 21% and Nittaidai W 15%, so Yunogo Belle W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Yunogo Belle W and 1.3 for Nittaidai W (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yunogo Belle W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Nittaidai W. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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