Today / Punjab vs Mumbai City

Punjab vs Mumbai City Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Punjab

PPG 2.20 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Mumbai City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-113.6%0-25.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-113.2%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.1%2-16.4%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.6%3-12.1%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% — — —

Draw 35.2% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.3% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Punjab1.0

Mumbai City0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PUNJAB · PPG 2.20

MUMBAI CITY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Punjab (H) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mumbai City (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Punjab face Mumbai City on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Punjab a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Mumbai City 27%, so Punjab are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Punjab and 0.8 for Mumbai City (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Punjab are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.00 for Mumbai City. This match finished 0-0.

Punjab vs Mumbai City Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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