Today / Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC

Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Jamshedpur

PPG 2.13 · HOME

UPCOMING

Odisha FC

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-15.7%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.1%1-110.3%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.9%2-19.5%2-23.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.9%3-15.8%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-14.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 48.2% — — —

Over 3.5 25.5% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 54% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.9%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 10.3%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jamshedpur1.8

Odisha FC0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.2% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JAMSHEDPUR · PPG 2.13

ODISHA FC · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Win probability 1X2

Jamshedpur (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Odisha FC (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jamshedpur face Odisha FC on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jamshedpur a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Odisha FC 22%, so Jamshedpur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Jamshedpur and 0.7 for Odisha FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jamshedpur are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.86 for Odisha FC.

Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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