Today / Kolding IF vs Lyngby

Kolding IF vs Lyngby Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Kolding IF
PPG 1.57 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Lyngby
PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.57) vs Away GOOD (1.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-110.7%0-29.0%0-35.1%0-4+3.1%1 1-06.8%1-111.5%1-29.7%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.7%2-16.2%2-25.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.3%3-12.2%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.3%
Draw 26.4%
Away win 45.3%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 29.9%
BTTS 53.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob53.4%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 1–2 9.7%
#3 0–2 9.0%
#4 0–1 10.7%
#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolding IF1.1
Lyngby1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.57

LYNGBY · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.57) vs Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Kolding IF (H) 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lyngby (A) 45.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolding IF face Lyngby on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolding IF a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Lyngby 45%, so Lyngby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kolding IF and 1.7 for Lyngby (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolding IF are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.93 for Lyngby.

PredictVantage

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