Today / B 93 vs Aalborg BK

B 93 vs Aalborg BK Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

B 93
PPG 0.93 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Aalborg BK
PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-18.2%0-27.3%0-34.3%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.0%1-110.6%1-29.5%1-35.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.9%2-16.9%2-26.1%2-33.6%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.7%3-13.0%3-22.7%3-31.6%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.2%
Draw 25.5%
Away win 45.3%
Over 2.5 60.1%
Over 3.5 37.1%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%
#2 1–2 9.5%
#3 0–2 7.3%
#4 2–1 6.9%
#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B 931.3
Aalborg BK1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

B 93 · PPG 0.93

AALBORG BK · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

B 93 (H) 29.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Aalborg BK (A) 45.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B 93 face Aalborg BK on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B 93 a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Aalborg BK 45%, so Aalborg BK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for B 93 and 1.8 for Aalborg BK (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B 93 are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.21 for Aalborg BK.

PredictVantage

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