U. Catolica vs Delfin Prediction & Tips

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Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 14 Olimpico Atahualpa· Quito Saturday, May 16, 2026 21:30

U. Catolica PPG 2.29

2-2 MISS

Delfin PPG 0.33

Away· +19.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.5%

Odds: 1.39 EV: -21.5%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +12.1%

Away 14.1%

Odds: 9.40 EV: +19.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.10 -26.5%

Over 3.5 9.6% Odds: 3.80 -38.1%

BTTS 41.0% Odds: 2.35 -3.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

U. Catolica

1.38

Delfin

0.34

Model SuggestionHome -21.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=56.5%