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Spokane Z. W vs Brooklyn W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 20:00

Spokane Z. W logo
Spokane Z. W
PPG 1.54 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
Brooklyn W logo
Brooklyn W
PPG 0.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-19.9%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.9%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.3%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.8%
Draw 27.9%
Away win 24.3%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Over 3.5 17.0%
BTTS 48.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 45%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.9%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–0 11.7%
#3 1–0 15.2%
#4 2–0 9.8%
#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spokane Z. W1.3
Brooklyn W0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPOKANE Z. W · PPG 1.54

BROOKLYN W · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Spokane Z. W (H) 47.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Brooklyn W (A) 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spokane Z. W face Brooklyn W in USA - USL Super League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spokane Z. W a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Brooklyn W 24%, so Spokane Z. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Spokane Z. W and 0.8 for Brooklyn W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spokane Z. W are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.77 for Brooklyn W. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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