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F. Lauderdale W vs Carolina A. W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 23:30

F. Lauderdale W

PPG 0.85 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Carolina A. W

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs Home POOR (0.85)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-111.1%0-29.8%0-35.8%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.2%1-111.1%1-29.8%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.1%2-15.5%2-24.9%2-32.9%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.0%3-11.8%3-21.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 51.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 30.2% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 52.9%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 52% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 0–2 9.8%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 11.1%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

F. Lauderdale W1.0

Carolina A. W1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

F. LAUDERDALE W · PPG 0.85

CAROLINA A. W · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs Home POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

F. Lauderdale W (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Carolina A. W (A) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

F. Lauderdale W face Carolina A. W in USA - USL Super League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives F. Lauderdale W a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Carolina A. W 52%, so Carolina A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for F. Lauderdale W and 1.8 for Carolina A. W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, F. Lauderdale W are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 2.08 for Carolina A. W. This match finished 0-3.

F. Lauderdale W vs Carolina A. W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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