Today / Viven Bornova vs Balikesirspor

Viven Bornova vs Balikesirspor Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Viven Bornova logo
Viven Bornova
PPG 0.64 · HOME
1 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Balikesirspor logo
Balikesirspor
PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home POOR (0.64)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-18.0%0-211.4%0-310.8%0-4+15.4%1 1-02.0%1-15.8%1-28.3%1-37.8%1-4+11.2%2 2-00.7%2-12.1%2-23.0%2-32.9%2-4+4.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.7%3-30.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 6.8%
Draw 12.4%
Away win 80.8%
Over 2.5 69.3%
Over 3.5 47.9%
BTTS 48.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 69%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-4
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob48.7%

A 81% / xG 0.7-2.8 / O2.5 69% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.4%
#2 0–3 10.8%
#3 1–2 8.3%
#4 0–1 8.0%
#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viven Bornova0.7
Balikesirspor2.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIVEN BORNOVA · PPG 0.64

BALIKESIRSPOR · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home POOR (0.64)

Win probability 1X2

Viven Bornova (H) 6.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 12.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Balikesirspor (A) 80.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viven Bornova face Balikesirspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viven Bornova a 7% chance, the draw 12% and Balikesirspor 81%, so Balikesirspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Viven Bornova and 2.8 for Balikesirspor (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viven Bornova are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 1.79 for Balikesirspor. This match finished 1-4.

PredictVantage

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